![]() ![]() IEA/NEA, “Projected Cost of Generating Electricity (2010 Edition)”, OECD, Paris, (2010) TJONG, W., F., “Aplikasi Statistik Ekstrim dan Simulasi Monte Carlo dalam Penentuan Beban Rencana pada Struktur dengan Umur Guna Tertentu”, Dimensi Teknik Sipil, Vol. SRIDADI, B.,”Pemodelan dan Simulasi Sistem: Teori, Aplikasi dan Contoh Program dalam Bahasa C”, Penerbit Informatika, Jakarta, (2009). HOLTON, Glyn A., Value-at-Risk: Theory and Practice, 2nd ed, E-book at net, Accessed on 4 February 2012 PUSLITBANG PT PLN (Persero) dan PPEN-BATAN, “Laporan Akhir: Studi Ekonomi, Pendanaan dan Struktur Owner dalam Rangka Rencana Persiapan Pembangunan PLTN Pertama di Indonesia”, PLN, Jakarta (2006). NURYANTI, dkk., “Analisis Probabilistik Pada Perhitungan Biaya Pembangkitan Listrik Teraras PLTN”, Jurnal Pengembangan Energi Nuklir, Volume 14 No. NURYANTI, “Studi Kelayakan Finansial Proyek PLTN di Indonesia dengan Memasukkan Unsur Ketidakpastian”, Thesis, Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, (2012). et al., “Using probabilistic analysis to value power generation Investment under uncertainty”, EPRG 065, Electricity Policy Research Group (EPRG), University of Cambridge, England, (2006). ğERETIC, D., & TOMSIC, Z.,”Probabilistic analysis of electrical energy cost comparing: Production costs for gas,coal and nuclear power plants”, Energy Policy,33, pp. et al., “Kajian penerapan model NPV-at-risk sebagai alat untuk melakukan evaluasi investasi pada proyek infrastruktur jalan tol”, Jurnal Infrastruktur dan Lingkungan Binaan Vol. RODE, et al.,”Montecarlo Methods for Appraisal and Valuation: A Case Study of a Nuclear Power Plant”, CEIC Working Paper 01-01, Carnegie Mellon Electricity Industry Centser, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, (2001). ěLACK & VEATCH, “Levelized Cost of Energy Calculation, Methodology and Sensitivity”, Cost of Energy Calculation_BV_EN.pdf. dan RICOTTI, M., “Research Article: An Evaluation of SMR Economic Attractiveness”, Hindawi Publishing Corporation, Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations, Volume 2014, Article ID 803698, (2014). ![]() dan LORENZINI, P.,“NuScale: A Modular, Scalable Approach to Commercial Nuclear Power”, Nuclear News, (2010). dan NINOKATA, H.,”Pioneering Role of IRIS in the Resurgence of Small Modular Reactors”, Nuclear Technology, Vol. PETROVIC, B., RICOTTI, M., MONTI, S., CAVLINA, N. dan MANCINI, M., “Small-medium Sized Nuclear, Coal and Gas power plant: A Probabilistic Analysis of Their Performances and Influence of CO2 Cost”, Energy Policy, 38, pp. IEA/NEA, “Current Status, Technical Feasibility and Economics of Small Nuclear Reactors”, OECD, Paris, ( Juni 2011) PT PLN (Persero), “Statistik PLN 2013”, Sekretariat Perusahaan PT PLN (Persero), Jakarta, ISSN No. Occurrence probability of LUEC is less than 13 cents USD/kWh (benchmark value) was about 100% on discount rate of 5% and 50% on discount rate of 10%. While LUEC as the results of uncertainty variables simulation on probabilistic approach were 13.10 ± 1.43 cents USD/ kWh on discount rate 10% and 8.11 ± 0.88 cents USD/kWh on discount rate 5%. calculation in deterministic approach was 12.87 cents USD/ kWh. ![]() #Statistik teroi dan aplikasi J. supranto PDF jilid 7 plus#Whereas the probabilistic approach obtained LUEC of 13.10 plus minus 1.43 cents USD/kWh at a discount rate of 10% and amounted to 8.11 plus minus 0.88 cents USD/kWh at a discount rate of 5%. The results show that the deterministic approach with a discount rate of 10% obtained LUEC at 12.87 cents US$/kWh. Probabilistic approach is done by simulating the effect of uncertainty variable on LUEC using Monte Carlo simulation technique. The research method is calculating LUEC with deterministic approach followed by the probabilistic approach. The goal of this study was to perform economic analysis of SMR NPP project with capacity 2 x 100 MWe in Indonesia by incorporating an amount of uncertainty variables, namely the probabilistic approach. ![]() Economic analysis is a crucial thing that should be done prior to any investment decision on the SMR NPP project and generally done by calculation of Levelized Unit Electricity Cost (LUEC). NPP projects, include SMR, are vulnerable to a number of uncertainty variables. SMR NPP is an alternative to overcome the dependency to diesel power plant especially in outside Java Bali system. International Conference on Nuclear Energy Technologies and Sciences (2015) ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |